- Source, Geopolitics and Empire
TRACKING THE AUTHOR OF THE GLOOM BOOM DOOM REPORT AND GOLD VIGILANTE, MARC FABER AN UNOFFICIAL TRACKING OF HIS INVESTMENT COMMENTARY
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Marc Faber: Stocks, Gold, Crypto, Petroyuan, New Silk Road and World War
Friday, June 22, 2018
The party will end when you least expect it...
Market watcher Marc Faber, often hailed as the original "Dr. Doom," is not backing down from his long-held correction warning — even though nothing has materialized.
"You don't see, and I don't see. And, nobody sees. That's why people keep buying stocks. And yet, something will happen one day," the publisher of "The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report" said Tuesday on CNBC's "Futures Now."
Faber, who's in his 70s, is convinced another financial crisis like 2008will happen in his lifetime and it'll come when Wall Street least expects it. He predicted in late June that stocks will fall 40 percent.
He said several scenarios could trigger a deep correction.
"I think it may very well come from a credit event. Or, it may come from the disclosure of a major fraud. Or, it may come because interest rates start to go up," he said.
For now, it appears the rally isn't cracking. The S&P 500 has had 36 record closes this year. The Dow has done even better.
"In 2009 when stocks bottomed out, I can tell you that not many people saw why stocks would go up," Faber said. "Now it's the opposite. The sky is clear. Corporate profits have been expanding — they're good. Interest rates are low, but valuations are very high."
- Source, CNBC
Monday, June 18, 2018
Nothing Exempt With Dr. Marc Faber
Summary
My co-host and I interview Dr. Marc Faber to discuss his views on the global economy, emerging markets, and the trade war.
An underlooked risk Marc mentions lies in the voting patterns of milennials.
Marc also tells us what his biggest trading mistake was and his unusual work schedule.
Marc Faber joins us as a special guest on this show, and it makes for a great conversation on markets, the economy, why the rent is too high in California, his advice for milennials, and his unusual sleep schedule. We also discuss the US-China trade negotiations, its impact on other emerging market economies, and what catalysts could possibly cause the market momentum to shift directions.
Links to Show:
Podcast: Play in new window | Download | iTunes
For those unfamiliar with his work, Marc writes great newsletter the Gloom Boom & Doom Report which can be found on http://gloomboomdoom.com
My co-host and I interview Dr. Marc Faber to discuss his views on the global economy, emerging markets, and the trade war.
An underlooked risk Marc mentions lies in the voting patterns of milennials.
Marc also tells us what his biggest trading mistake was and his unusual work schedule.
Marc Faber joins us as a special guest on this show, and it makes for a great conversation on markets, the economy, why the rent is too high in California, his advice for milennials, and his unusual sleep schedule. We also discuss the US-China trade negotiations, its impact on other emerging market economies, and what catalysts could possibly cause the market momentum to shift directions.
Links to Show:
Podcast: Play in new window | Download | iTunes
For those unfamiliar with his work, Marc writes great newsletter the Gloom Boom & Doom Report which can be found on http://gloomboomdoom.com
- Source, Seeking Alpha
Tuesday, June 5, 2018
Friday, June 1, 2018
Marc Faber: Countries Unwise to Let Antagonistic US Hold Their Gold
He also weighs in on which asset class, crypto-currencies or precious metals, will ultimately will be the major benefactor of all of the pending geopolitical unrest. Don’t miss a tremendous interview with Dr Doom, Marc Faber, coming up after this week’s market update.
- Source, Money Metals Exchange
Monday, May 28, 2018
Marc Faber: The Crypto Craze is Very Concerning
Right now, investors are geared towards equities and cryptocurrencies. However, Faber expects within a few years investors will turn towards gold and silver. Faber does not have faith in most cryptocurrencies.
While he says blockchain technology is here to stay, he thinks the vast majority of cryptocurrencies will fail.
- Source, The Silver Doctors
Wednesday, May 23, 2018
Dr. Marc Faber: The Fed Will Reverse QT In Less Than 12 Months
- Source, Wall St for Main St
Thursday, May 17, 2018
Marc Faber on the China Trade War, the Japan Trap and Why the World is More Vulnerable Than Ever
With global markets struggling for direction after a rocky start to the year, Dr Doom has been conspicuously absent from the conversation. Investment adviser Marc Faber, 72, who adopted the nickname in 1987 after a newspaper column highlighted his contrarian outlook on markets, has had a quiet six months.
Faber – a once regular guest on business news shows such as CNBC’s Squawk Box and Bloomberg Television – has faded from view since the publication of his October newsletter The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report for comments that were condemned as racist. This included a passage where Faber used offensive racial references in laying out a bleak picture for the US if its early immigration flows had been from Africa rather than Europe. He has since been dropped from the booking lists for programmes at Fox News and CNBC, according to Reuters.
At the time, Faber told Canada’s Global & Mail he stood by the remarks, saying in an email exchange that he did not regret writing the passage and that he had a free right to express his views.
When This Week in Asia spoke to Faber at his suite at the Grand Hyatt in Hong Kong this year, he sounded resigned to the loss of his appearances on business television.
“Everything in life and the universe has a timeline, it is transient. In other words, what you have today, you may not have tomorrow,” Faber said.
Known for a keen interest in history, and the works of innovators such as Russian “wave theory” economist Nikolai Kondratiev, Faber has slipped from the public spotlight just as global markets have entered a period of heightened volatility...
Faber – a once regular guest on business news shows such as CNBC’s Squawk Box and Bloomberg Television – has faded from view since the publication of his October newsletter The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report for comments that were condemned as racist. This included a passage where Faber used offensive racial references in laying out a bleak picture for the US if its early immigration flows had been from Africa rather than Europe. He has since been dropped from the booking lists for programmes at Fox News and CNBC, according to Reuters.
At the time, Faber told Canada’s Global & Mail he stood by the remarks, saying in an email exchange that he did not regret writing the passage and that he had a free right to express his views.
When This Week in Asia spoke to Faber at his suite at the Grand Hyatt in Hong Kong this year, he sounded resigned to the loss of his appearances on business television.
“Everything in life and the universe has a timeline, it is transient. In other words, what you have today, you may not have tomorrow,” Faber said.
Known for a keen interest in history, and the works of innovators such as Russian “wave theory” economist Nikolai Kondratiev, Faber has slipped from the public spotlight just as global markets have entered a period of heightened volatility...
- Source, This Week in Asia
Tuesday, May 8, 2018
Marc Faber: Tariffs Are Going to Backfire on Everyone
The tariffs are going to backfire on the US very badly because you have to understand that the US was economically very powerful until the early 1980s. The same was the time in the 70s and early 80s. If America sneezes, Asia catches the cold because all the exports went to America. But this is no longer the case nowadays. Take steel. 2% of US steel imports are from China and only 1.5% of Chinese production of steel is exported to the US.
Even if the US would not buy any steel at all from China, it would not matter to the Chinese. At the time of Davos in February, a Chinese owner of the world’s largest bus company was interviewed and they asked him about US tariffs and chances of trade war with US. He said we really do not care. We export our buses to 150 different countries in the world, what do we care about the American market and that is true for many companies. The American market is no longer that relevant. China exports more to commodity producers than to the US and the same applies to the South Korea.
What has changed in the last 30-40 years is that whereas Asia and the world was American centric before, the world has become much more China centric in Asia and it is a much more multi-dimensional global economy where the US has lost a lot of its importance, relatively speaking. It has also lost the lot of prestige because of their failed interventions in Iraq, in Syria, in Libya, in Afghanistan, everything they touched, they messed up.
Even if the US would not buy any steel at all from China, it would not matter to the Chinese. At the time of Davos in February, a Chinese owner of the world’s largest bus company was interviewed and they asked him about US tariffs and chances of trade war with US. He said we really do not care. We export our buses to 150 different countries in the world, what do we care about the American market and that is true for many companies. The American market is no longer that relevant. China exports more to commodity producers than to the US and the same applies to the South Korea.
What has changed in the last 30-40 years is that whereas Asia and the world was American centric before, the world has become much more China centric in Asia and it is a much more multi-dimensional global economy where the US has lost a lot of its importance, relatively speaking. It has also lost the lot of prestige because of their failed interventions in Iraq, in Syria, in Libya, in Afghanistan, everything they touched, they messed up.
- Source, ET India
Saturday, May 5, 2018
Marc Faber: Forget about seeing 3% GDP growth in the U.S.
- Source, BNN
Wednesday, May 2, 2018
Marc Faber: These Trade Wars are Going to be Very Negative for Everyone
In terms of interest rates, historically, our standards have been at the lowest level in the history of mankind from say 3000 BC up to now. So, in 5,000 years of history, we have never been this low. In the US, the low for the 10 years treasury was at 1.37% in July 2016 and in Europe, in many cases, there have been negative interest rates.
Recently, that has moved up a little bit but in Switzerland and in Japan, basically we still have negative interest rates and we have had them essentially for the last eight-nine years. This is a very unusual situation. I do not think anyone could expect interest rate to stay this low for much further. There is a rising tendency but recently the treasury bonds in the US have sold off quite considerably and I believe that we could have one more decline in interest rates as a result of a recession that may happen later on this year or next year. So, I actually went long on some treasury bonds in the US.
Concerning global trade, you are right. The idea was that multinationals in Europe and especially in the US could open up new markets like China and then sell their goods into these markets. But conditions have somewhat changed in the sense that it is the Chinese and other emerging economies that sold their goods into the US.
So to some extent, it backfired on the US and as you know the US is not the fair player and they reacted negatively. These trade sanctions or trade barriers, in my view are not very negative for China and other countries. Rather they are very negative for the US. This is my assessment of the situation.
Recently, that has moved up a little bit but in Switzerland and in Japan, basically we still have negative interest rates and we have had them essentially for the last eight-nine years. This is a very unusual situation. I do not think anyone could expect interest rate to stay this low for much further. There is a rising tendency but recently the treasury bonds in the US have sold off quite considerably and I believe that we could have one more decline in interest rates as a result of a recession that may happen later on this year or next year. So, I actually went long on some treasury bonds in the US.
Concerning global trade, you are right. The idea was that multinationals in Europe and especially in the US could open up new markets like China and then sell their goods into these markets. But conditions have somewhat changed in the sense that it is the Chinese and other emerging economies that sold their goods into the US.
So to some extent, it backfired on the US and as you know the US is not the fair player and they reacted negatively. These trade sanctions or trade barriers, in my view are not very negative for China and other countries. Rather they are very negative for the US. This is my assessment of the situation.
- Source, Marc Faber via ET
Sunday, April 29, 2018
Marc Faber: Canada Needs to Diversify Away From U.S. Trade Dependence
Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report joins BNN to discuss why Canada needs to diversify its trade policy away from the U.S.
- Source, BNN
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